10 November 2008

Boston Globe's "Big Picture" Treatment of Obama and His Supporers

I supported Barrack Obama in his run for President. The man has touched my heart with a hope I have not felt since JFK was elected in 1960.

Alan Taylor, who oversees the Boston Globe's incredible photography blog called "The Big Picture" just put together a great collection of big photos showing why Obama won an election which many a pundit thought was unwinnable due to Obama's race.

Never all the stupid lies and innuedos floated about Obama being a Socialist, terrorist, Communist, etc., it was race which was always in the back of doubter's minds everywhere in this country.

To answer the Doubting Thomases, once again, I show you photos which reveal the kind of man Barrack Obama is and how he has touched the hearts of Americans everywhere.

Click on this link to see all the "Big Picture" photos of Obama. I've placed three of my favorites in this short blog just to show you the kind of photography to expect. If you double click any of the three, they will blow up to "Big Picture" size:



Again, to access all 35 photos from the Big Picture titled "The Next President of the United States" just click the red highlighted words in this sentence.



Downgrades, Bankruptcy, Closings, Layoffs . . . Oh my!



GM Shares hit biggest low in 62 years on analyst's downgrade!

We know that GM is in a world of hurt.

In today's NY Times there was an article about white collar retirees who are seeing their medical benefits and pensions cut. These are not the blue collar union workers, but the people who were engineers, managers, office workers, etc., and who had been counting on GM to take care of them for life.

DETROIT — General Motors is living on borrowed time, spending more than $2 billion in cash a month and lobbying for a government bailout to keep it out of bankruptcy.

And for about 100,000 of its white-collar retirees, time is about to run out on G.M.’s gold-plated medical benefits.

To conserve its dwindling cash reserves, G.M. is eliminating lifetime health care coverage for its legions of retirees at the end of this year, leaving people like Ken Hewitt to fend for themselves in deciding how to cover their doctor’s bills and prescription drug costs.

“Everybody felt like they were set for life,” said Mr. Hewitt, 81, who retired from the former Chevrolet Engineering Center in 1982 and lives north of Detroit. “It’s been difficult, but the information they’ve given us has been beneficial. Still, when you get to be our age, it’s tough to make any big changes like that.”

Further down in the article you read these words:

G.M. has estimated that eliminating the white-collar retiree medical benefits, in addition to pay and staffing cuts in its current white-collar work force, will save the company about $1.5 billion annually. Union contracts prevent the company from revoking coverage for former factory workers. Ford and Chrysler already have cut health coverage for salaried retirees.

In fact, paying the cost of hospital stays, surgeries and expensive drugs for retirees, a group now larger than G.M.’s active work force, is a major reason the company’s financial woes are so great. G.M. says it spent $4.6 billion in 2007 on health care for its one million employees and retirees and their dependents.

Many retirees say they are aware of the burden these costs represent to the company, so they do not blame G.M. for cutting them off. Even so, they lament the demise of such a valuable perk.“If the company goes out of business, we’ll lose everything anyway,” said Richard J. Moore, 70, who held management positions at G.M. plants in New York and Illinois before retiring in 1991 to suburban Phoenix. “You can’t survive by giving away everything.”
Later today, we saw this news from Reuters: GM shares hit 62-year lows after broker downgrades

DETROIT (Reuters) - Shares of General Motors Corp tumbled 24 percent to 62 year lows on Monday after analysts downgraded the automaker, citing cash levels that may fall below the minimum needed in the first quarter of 2009.
Analysts including Barclays Capital to Credit Suisse also warned that while government aid would decrease the risk of a bankruptcy for the No.1 U.S. automaker, any assistance would come at a significant cost to existing shareholders.

GM and Ford Motor Co reported far deeper-than-expected quarterly losses on Friday and said their rate of cash burn had accelerated, as an extended slump in car sales raised questions about the future of the U.S. auto industry.

GM burned through $7 billion in cash in the third quarter and warned its cash holdings would fall short of the minimum needed to run its business without new funding or other drastic action.
Well, I haven't looked at my own stock charts for GM in quite some time, so I'll past my monthly chart for GM which only goes back to 1990, but it is still worth viewing the fall of what was once the largest corporation on Earth:

(click on chart above to see larger image)


Circuit City files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy!

From my hometown of Richmond, Virginia comes the sad news Circuit City (formerly Wards in the good old days) has filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy.

For those of you who don't follow financial news, Chapter 11 is not a final nail in a corporation's coffin. What this type filing does is allow the struggling coporation a few more breaths of life by allowing it to hold off purveyors it owes (such as Sony, Garmin, Apple, Cannon, etc.) while it tries to re-arrange financing of debt payments.

Just a week ago, Circuit City announced it would shutter 155 stores.

But as today's news says,

The Richmond, Va.-based consumer-electronics retailer, which has seen its shares tumbling 99% from a 52-week high of $8.24, negotiated a commitment for a $1.1 billion debtor-in-possession revolving credit line that will allow it to pay vendors and operate business as usual. The credit line replaced its $1.3 billion asset-based credit line provided by the same lenders. Circuit City said in the filing, made through the United States Bankruptcy Court for the Eastern District of Virginia, that it plans to emerge from the bankruptcy protection in the first half of 2009.

The company disclosed $3.4 billion in assets and $2.32 in liabilities in the filing. Unsecured trade debt owed to vendors will total not less than $650 million, Circuit City said. It buys products from Samsung Electronics to Hewlett-Packard Co.

Circuit City's move came a week after the company, suffering from declining sales, traffic and cash, said that it planned to shut 155 U.S. underperforming stores and cut 7,300 jobs in a last-ditch effort to stay afloat. Despite its aggressive efforts to talk to its vendors, their loss of confidence and fear they won't be paid made it extremely difficult for the company to have the goods and support service it needed for the critical holiday season without a bankruptcy filing, Circuit City said in the filing.

This raises a question in my mind: Who believes Circuit City will have a good Christmas Season this year when consumers will be afraid they cannot return products?

Meanwhile, the big winners from Circuit City's misfortune will be Wal-Mart, Cost Co., and . . . especially . . . Best Buy.

I'm not a big fan of retail stocks, but these three consumers have been holding their own during the recent market crash and with Circuit City's market share up for grabs, I'm willing to be these three retailers are going to be smiling once this Recession ends.

DHL to stop overnight deliveries in USA. Will close 18 hubs.

Here's another story showing how the global meltdown is affecting companies from other countries. Deutsche Post's DHL road and air package service is cutting way back in the USA as of today. In fact, as the story in Business Week says,

Package delivery company DHL may have conquered the world, but it admitted on Nov. 10 that it couldn't conquer the U.S. The unit of Germany's Deutsche Post (DPWGN.DE) announced it will stop making express deliveries within the U.S., close all of its 18 main distribution hubs there, and lay off all but a few thousand of its remaining 13,000 U.S. workers.

Although DHL will continue to make deliveries to and from the U.S. and other countries, its withdrawal from the domestic express business is another setback for a blue chip German company in the world's biggest market. Last year carmaker Daimler (DAI) sold its stake in Chrysler after it was unable to turn around the No. 3 American automaker.


DHL has lost nearly $10 billion in the U.S. in the five years since it purchased Airborne Express in an attempt to challenge FedEx (FDX) and United Parcel Service (UPS). Despite its dominance in the rest of the world, DHL was never able to take enough share from the two major carriers in their home market. The company's decision to largely withdraw from the U.S. will push parent Deutsche Post to an estimated $1 billion loss for the full year as it books writedowns totaling $3.9 million to cover severance payments to workers and other restructuring.

Okay, so the eventual winners here are already named in this story: Fed Ex and UPS. Sometime this week we'll take a gander at their charts and financials and talk about them on this blog.

Nevertheless, the cuts at DHL don't seem to be helping another delivery system: the US Postal system is announcing layoffs for the first time in its history. . .

US Postal Service looking to cut 40,000 jobs!

I never thought I'd see the day a headline such as the one preceding this sentence would be written, but there it is.

From a KSLA news story we get this:

SHREVEPORT, LA (KSLA) - "We lost 2 billion dollars and like any other business we have to stay afloat." And to keep from sinking, the United States Postal Service is considering cutting thousands of jobs nationwide. Lavelle Pepper with the post office in Shreveport says they too are feeling the affects of the same disease hitting the country... a struggling economy. "We employ about 685,000 people. If we do layoffs it would include clerks, carriers, mail handlers across all crafts."

Pepper says the postal service is looking to eliminate 40,000 jobs nationwide. There's not an exact number on how many of those could be from the Ark-La-Tex. Pepper says workers who are not part of union with six or less years of service would likely be the first on the chopping block. "We've identified 16 thousand people that are not covered under contract. We'll see what those numbers add up to."

The postal service is also offering early retirement packages to workers over the age of 50 who have more than 20 years on the job. But according to pepper it may not be enough. "The preliminary numbers look like it's not going to be enough and we may have to do something else." But despite what may happen, Pepper says customers will not feel the pain they're going through. "The general public when it takes place won't see any decrease in service.. They largely won't know about it."

To which I must ask, "Why are the lines so long now in our local Key West Post Offices?"

I'll guess we'll see if we, the general public, ". . . won't see any decrease in service . . ." or " . . . largely (not) know about it."

Meanwhile, I don't know about you, but I personally continue to find new online ways to pay my bills. Every new online account I open for a credit card or utility or whatever is another .43 cent stamp I save every month, plus, the my payment is credited in 24 hours or less.

Lastly, with all these bankruptcies, closings, and layoffs, we can expect the national unemployment rate to become worse. Well, today, a new headline surfaced telling us unemployment hit a new 26 year high:

Jobless ranks hit 10 million, most in 25 years

The Associated Press brings us this news story:

WASHINGTON (AP) — The nation's jobless ranks zoomed past 10 million last month, the most in a quarter-century, as piles of pink slips shut factory gates and office doors to 240,000 more Americans with the holidays nearing. Politicians and economists agreed on a painful bottom line: It's only going to get worse.

The unemployment rate soared to a 14-year high of 6.5 percent, the government said Friday, up from 6.1 percent just a month earlier. And there was more grim news from U.S. automakers: Ford Motor Co. and General Motors Corp., American giants struggling to survive, each reported big losses and figured to be announcing even more job cuts before long.

Regulators, meanwhile, shut down Houston-based Franklin Bank and Security Pacific Bank in Los Angeles on Friday, bringing the number of failures of federally insured banks this year to 19.The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. was appointed receiver of Franklin Bank, which had $5.1 billion in assets and $3.7 billion in deposits as of Sept. 30, and of Security Pacific Bank, with $561.1 million in assets and $450.1 million in deposits as of Oct. 17.

To which I say, damn, folks, it's only Monday. What will tomorrow bring?

Caveat Emptor,

Rock Trueblood

p.s. Note to myself: look into Best Buy, Costco, Fed Ex and UPS as future investment ideas.



Attention: Just Started Adding Fantasy Fest Photos to Cowboy Bill's Blog

(The beautiful Ms. Haylee is one of Cowboy Bill's Bartenders! Tell her I sent ya!)
Cowboy Bill's Blog Back Up and Running

The first photos from Fantasy Fest are posted today on the Cowboy Bill's blog.

Here is the direct link to the blog. Bookmark it. New photos will post daily. See what Key West is all about at the Southernmost Honky Tonk Saloon.

Rock Trueblood

Friend of Cowboy Bill's

05 November 2008

A Thank You to Senator McCain and the GOP from an Obama/Biden Voter


Senator McCain's concession speech set the right tone

Senator John McCain spoke with such eloquence in his concession speech last night that time and again I wondered, "Where was this John McCain of old during the campaign, Senator?"
Everytime the Senator mentioned the new President Elect or his name, members in his Arizona audience would boo like partisan robots shaped by Pavlov brainwash from Rush, Bill, and all the other amplifiers of attitude we've allowed to take over political discourse in this election and every election in the past 8 years. In response to the boo birds, Senator McCain gesticulated time and again with a tamping down motion of his hands and staring down his audience, in essence, telling them, "Look, the campaign is over. Show some respect. This is no time to act like out of control kindergartners."

Yes, Senator McCain, you showed something last night which you rarely showed in your campaign appearances where audience members would shout out "Terrorist, Socialist, Communist," even "Kill Him!" whenever you or your VP nominee invoked Senator Obama's name: CLASS.

Had you showed more class on the campaign road by telling the worst element of the GOP crowds to knock off the fascist rally responses, you might have picked up more votes from Independent voters.

Regardless, I don't wish you ill. And I hope you decide to retire from politics and takes some much deserved vacation time with your wife and family. You deserve the rest.

Also, let me thank the GOP

I'd like to thank the way the GOP mis-handled the VP nominee for this year, Sarah Palin.

By making her unavailable to the Mainstream Press for most all of the campaign, you showed how little you believed in her ability to think and speak on her own. By bringing this obvious not ready for prime time neophyte more attention to her lack of press conferences, you opened up a barrage of investigation into her past. And what a sordid past this woman has! This woman has lied more than any Republican since . . . oh . . . Dick Cheney.

Now that Sarah has become a laughing stock for comedians everywhere, let us hope the Centrists in the GOP will take back their party from Neo-Cons and Pentecostal Taliban and agents of intolerance such as Rush Limbaugh, Bill O' Reilly, Pat Robertson, and preachers who do not want a separation of Church and State and who think Science is Satan Incarnate.

Let's hope the GOP will rid itself of religious quacks, Chickenhawks, Family Value hypocrites and sociopathic corporate plutocrats and kleptocrats, and bring back some sane Conservatives to prominence who preach balanced government, true democracy, and an unwillingness to plunge this nation into illegal wars.

If the GOP learns no lessons from this huge misfire of partisan politics as usual, then it will be relegated to the trash heap like its precursor, the Whig Party.

Hello, World, we're back!

This Nation is now going to rejoin the world.

We will not have time for cretins who believe their God is the only God, that humans once roamed the Earth with dinosaurs, that Science is balderhash and education something an "elitist" would seek.

Our newly elected President, Barrack Obama, is already a favorite overseas as the man shows more diplomatic skill than anyone since Dean Rusk. He's a man who listens, who doesn't rush into decisions blindly without weighing opinions and advice from all sides. Best of all, he doesn't cater to Neo-Cons or Taliban types from any religion.

Lastly, the man is Presidential. When he speaks, he speaks like an educated man, not a dimwit frat boy who skated through life on his daddy's legacy and the Affirmative Action his daddy pulled for him in college, the Air Reserve, business and government.

President Barrack Obama stands on his own merit. He stands on his own two feet. And he's surrounded himself with the best minds in all facets of government, business and Science.
Lastly he challenges our Country to be great again.

So folks, I'm no longer feeling depressed, gloomy, ready to pack up and move to Canada.

A new morning has broken upon the planet and the sun seems brighter and friendlier.

My hope has been rewarded. My faith in the American people has been rewarded.

It's "get busy time" and it's going to take a lot of work to help this new President of ours right our Economic ship.

We will rebuild our infrastructure.

We'll bring our troops home from foreign lands where they have no business being.

We'll invest in alternative energy to make us less dependent on oil.

And, with the grace of our intelligence gods, Osama bin Laden will be brought to justice once and for all.

I'm looking forward to the next four years like no other years since I was kid in the 60s and President JFK said we'd land on the moon in 10 years time.

Again, John McCain, thank you for the conciliatory tone in your concession speech. I hope more Republicans take your tone.

Again, thanks GOP for trotting out the same old Karl Rovian approach to politics which no longer work. It made Senators Obama and Biden look all the more classy and less partisan. And it tells your party leaders your party needs to change.

President Obama and Vice-President Biden, I hope you use this goodwill you've brought us to change the Country . . . and the world . . . for better. May your light shine brightly in our darkest hours.

Over and out on this historic morning in America and the World,
November 5, 2008,
DJ Rock

04 November 2008

One in Three Florida Borrowers for Home Loans Owe More than Their Homes are Worth

As housing inventory grows in Florida, prices continue to fall, and foreclosures continue to grow.

I just read a Time Magazine article this morning while standing in line to vote. This article, titled "The Housing Bust: Signs of a Bottoming Out?" had this to say about the Miami skyline and inventory:

The last piece of the last residential construction crane in Miami is coming down this week. Don't expect to see another crane in this city for a decade, says Peter Zalewski, a real estate broker and founder of Condo Vultures, a realty intelligence service. Miami is both a metaphor and model for once torrid real estate markets that melted in the subprime debacle. Miami developers threw up some 23,000 units beginning in 2003, many of them bought by speculators who thought they could flip them for a quick profit. Some did.

Then the music stopped. "Our best guestimate — and we've talked to lenders and developers — is that you will not see a residential construction crane in the sky in downtown Miami for a generation," Zalewski told TIME. "Well, at least seven years," he said before modifying his forecast yet again. "Let's go with a decade," he finally concluded. Let's. The latest Case-Shiller Home Price Index for a 20-city composite showed that prices recorded a 1% drop in August and were down 16.6% for the past 12 months. Miami had a 1.8% monthly drop and a 28.1% tumble over the past year; in San Francisco, it was -3.5% monthly and -27.3% for the year.

I can't imagine being trapped in a fast depreciating asset like a home or condo which no one will buy unless I drop the price dramatically.

The problem I'm seeing in the Florida Keys with fast depreciating homes is this: they haven't depreciated to the point, yet, where buying one is cheaper than renting.

Why buy when renting makes more economical sense?

Why buy an asset like a house when you know the market is flooded with inventory? More foreclosures coming down the pike will continue to place pressure on median prices to slide. And as foreclosures are sold as REOs or short sales, everyone of those sales becomes a loss on some bank's books and entered into the MLS as a huge hit to median home prices. Thus, the Housing Crash will continue well beyond 2009 and 2010 in Key West and all of Florida.

Furthermore, why buy a overpriced depreciating asset which has hidden costs such as insurance, taxes and maintenance climbing more quickly than inflation?

Not only that, but few new condo buyers in Key West, Miami, or anywhere else in Florida have done the simple math on monthly fees tossed in by condo associations. I'm amazed at how shocked some new condo owners are when they figure in their "condo fees" to that deal they thought the were getting. These are smart people who've put aside downpayments, waited while prices declined, and somehow jumped into a condo today at what seemed an okay price without figuring in insurance and the loathsome condo fees.

And then there's this to consider:

1.2 million Florida mortgage holders owe more than home's value

I read this article Friday online from the Palm Beach Post which shows just how bad homeowners in Florida are taking it on the chin:

No need to put a fright mask on these numbers: Nearly one in three Florida mortgage borrowers owed more on their loans than their homes were worth in the third quarter, according to a report issued Friday.

Fully 1.2 million of Florida's 4.2 million mortgages - 29.2 percent - were upside down, said First American CoreLogic of Santa Ana, Calif.

If home prices dip another 5 percent, nearly 200,000 more Florida borrowers would slip under water.

Further price declines seem a near certainty as foreclosures soar and job losses mount.Moody's Economy.com forecasts a 10 percent price decline in Palm Beach County, while Veros Real Estate Solutions predicts a 15 percent drop for Palm Beach County and the Treasure Coast in the coming year.

It all adds up to a gruesome picture. With so many homeowners under water and the job market weakening, foreclosures are likely to rise, said Sam Khater, senior economist at First American CoreLogic.

This Recession will continue to kill housing. As more jobs are laid off, more commercial and residential real estate will become vacant. As rental vacancies rise, rents will continue to come down.

As an example: condo fees in my condo (I rent) out here by Key West Airport just went up at a time that condo sales prices are fetching 50-60% less than they did just three years ago. We've got a new condo manager who just increased maintenanc fees with board approval. And still, 2 bedroom condos with 2 bathrooms just like the one I'm renting for $1600 a month are now asking $1400-$1500 a month. These new rental prices have dropped in just a few months time.

Out at West Isle Club, they've brought in a new manager to replace the manager who had been their 15 years. Eventhough their rents have not gone up or down, West Isle has just completed massive renovations of empty units, adding new carpet, new wallboard, new paint, and all new stainless steel appliances to 1, 2 and 3 bedroom apartments. So, renters are getting more bang for the same buck at West Isle, which no longer has waiting lists to move in.

Everywhere I look, there are apartments remaining vacant for months in Key West. And I know the trend is the same in Miami, Ft. Lauderdale, Fort Pierce, Tampa, and now even in Ocala. You see ads on craigslist everywhere for "First month's rent FREE!" in all of these locales. It's another sure sign that landlords are desperate.

Yes, Florida, we are in an deflationary spiral for apartments, condos, houses, businesses, cars, boats . . . you name a durable good, and it fetches far less than it did just three years ago.

Car lots are filled with inventory. New car sales are the worst since World War II.

Marinas down here are renting parking space for repoed boats.

And now apartment landlords are sticking rental signs for airport condos on grassy road medians blocks. These desperate landlords are looking for warm bodies to fill their vacant condos and rescue their bad decision to buy "investment" property at the market top. Yep, rental wars sure are nice for us renters, but not so good for landlords with a decreasing pool of good candidates as the Tourist Recession continues to end more jobs in Key West.

By the way, unemployment for Augusts 2008 was the highest in Key West since 1994 . . . and maybe longer . . . but the Chamber of Commerce records only go back that far. (See page 20 of 29 for unemployment stats.)

We're now at 4.8% unemployment in Key West, but if you look at all the homeless people camping out for the night at those bus shelters built for advertisers along every road in the Keys, you know homelessness is dramatically up. (One of my favorite homeless guys has claimed the bus shelter directly across from the swank Hyatt Beach Club by the airport. That shelter has an ocean view and I've never seen one person wait there during daylight hours for a bus. But the ad for Comcast on it's side hasn't changed in over a year. The only user of the shelter is this homeless guy who claims it at night.)

Add all these speculators and homeowners in Key West who are still scraping by, keeping up with their mortgages, but whose loans are now under water (look at all the Realtors who bought Smurf Village quad-plex condos in New Town for $550,000 at the market top and who are now trying to arrange Short Sales for $180k-$200k) and you've got many more years of painful wrenching down of housing prices, for sure.

All these speculators and homeowners in Key West who are one paycheck away from being homeless because they are spending all their hard earned money trying to keep up with their loans, taxes, insurance and maintenance are in the same hard spot which other Floridians are in. As the Palm Beach Post article also stated,

It all adds up to a gruesome picture. With so many homeowners under water and the job market weakening, foreclosures are likely to rise, said Sam Khater, senior economist at First American CoreLogic.

"There's a large percentage of very vulnerable homeowners," Khater said. "If they lose their job, if they run into some kind of health problem, or divorce, they might just walk away."

Most homeowners will hunker down and continue to make mortgage payments in spite of the downturn, Khater said. But negative equity adds a toxic new ingredient to the housing market witches' brew.

"We've created an entire class of homeowner that is very sensitive to price changes," he said.

During the height of the real estate bubble, buyers routinely made small down payments and took adjustable-rate mortgages. And many homeowners refinanced to take equity out of their homes to fuel spending. That worked when prices were rising.

Now, though, the nightmarish rise of negative equity is sapping wealth and sending Florida's economy into a tailspin. Palm Beach County's jobless rate has doubled in the past two years, while St. Lucie County unemployment has hit double digits.

It wasn't different "this time", was it Realtors, Lenders, Appraisers and Builders?

You can't pyramid forever. Every pyramid has it's point at the top. Stand on it for too long, and you will most certainly fall off.

I feel the continued slide of American, Floridian, and Key West housing is a 100% sure fire bet for all of 2009 and 2010. When will we bottom? I don't know. But I'll bet this: when we bottom, we won't do a "V" ascent from the bottom. We'll do a hockey stick "L" for many years, in my opinion. If you buy a home, you better buy it to live in and make damn sure it costs less to buy it and run it than renting. Otherwise, why buy at all and become a miserable slave to the ball and chain of a house which you will have trouble selling in a market where lending is harder to find?

A Second Bradenton Bank Fails: Freedom Bank Taken Over by Fifth Third Bank


Another local Bradenton Bank is shut down by banking regulators

Today's issue of Barron's Magazine had a great article on regional banks which might be safe to invest in now as their tangible book ratios are at their lowest in years. One of the banks worth looking into was Fifth Third Bank.

As I perused headlines on Fifth Third, I noticed it had taken over a failing Florida bank, Freedom Bank of Bradenton, last Friday.

Knowing that Bradenton has already had one bank failure this year (First Priority failed earlier this year), I went in search of FDIC news surrounding Freedom Bank.

I also looked for a newspaper article using the Herald Tribunes online resource.

Here's the scoop


Swamped by millions of dollars in sour loans, Freedom Bank of Bradenton was shut down Friday by banking regulators.

Fifth Third Bank acquired Freedom's $254 million in deposits, and its four offices will open Monday as Fifth Third.

Freedom is the second Bradenton bank to fail this year, falling three months after First Priority Bank. It is the nation's 17th bank failure of 2008.

"In my 27 years in Florida banking, I don't think I can recall two banks failing in the same year in the same town," said Sarasota banking consultant Tramm Hudson.

Both failures reflect the aftermath of the real estate boom-and-bust that has crippled banks here and nationwide. Critics have questioned the two Bradenton banks' fast-growth strategies and whether they traded caution for loan and growth deals.

The Florida Office of Financial Regulation seized Freedom at the close of business Friday.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. was appointed receiver to liquidate its assets.

Deposit customers of Freedom automatically become customers of Fifth Third.

Some observers had circled Oct. 31 for Freedom's demise. On Friday, the bank issued its third-quarter earnings report and the FDIC released a cease-and-desist order showing Freedom had missed a deadline to replenish its capital base.

Freedom lost $3.2 million in the quarter, bringing its year-to-date loss to $18 million.

The cease-and-desist order, issued Sept. 5, directed Freedom to, within 45 days, raise millions of dollars in fresh capital and boost its basic "tier 1" capital ratio to 8 percent.

That key measure of financial health had evaporated to 2.0 percent, or $5.4 million, putting the bank just above the "critically undercapitalized" level.

"This bank was just too far gone to be saved," said FDIC spokesman David Barr. "It got to the point where the bank had to be closed."

To which I will add this question: Have any of you Key Westers who use Wachovia talked to your local branch manager since Wells Fargo took them over? I wonder, because I still see the Wachovia sign up on North Roosevelt Boulevard and I'm wondering when Wells Fargo will put their imprint on checks, savings deposit slips, and of course, the signage out front?

Lastly, none of you should be reminded to get out there and vote today. Polls open in about two hours in Key West. I'll be over there with Cafe con leche in hand.

As always . . . caveat emptor,

Rock

p.s. Soon after this election, I will be discussing stocks I've been buying during last month's crash. I've never seen so many bargains in blue chip/buy and hold for life stocks. When you have companies such as Con Edison which has never missed paying a dividend since 1885 or a company such as Proctor and Gamble selling for far less than their Enterprise Value (the cost it would take to set up all of the company's factories, supply lines, offices, inventory, work force staff, etc.) then you know panic selling by hedge funds, mutual funds, pension funds and other highly leveraged players are offering you one of those very rare open windows of opportunity which must be seized before it shuts.

These are the moments in History where you wade in like Warren Buffet (who is a big big buyer of equities at this moment) and buy sound companies you may have been holding off from buying for the past ten years.

I'm still gun shy on most financials, insurance and real estate issues, and I certainly think it's going to get much worse in retail land.

Thus, I am buying necessities and consumer staples. Some of the stocks I've been buying in these areas are paying double digit yields for dividends. The dividends alone will bail you out if the market goes sideways for another 5, 7 or 15 years.

Just remember the law of 72. Meaning if you find a investworthy stock throwing off say a 12% yield at this time, within six years (12 x 6) you will have doubled your gains by simply reinvesting your dividends back into the company's share's you originally bought.

I can help any of you set up automatic dividend reinvestment plans through your online brokers and without requiring you to contact the company you want to reinvest your dividends. It's a very simple process with Fidelity. Ameritrade takes a bit more work, but it is doable in one-half hour.

That said, I highly recommend everyone take a bit of your take home pay and invest it weekly or bi-weekly into a Roth IRA which you fund with necessity and consumer staple stocks which will not lose Enterprise Value as we go further into this Recession we are in (and which will get much worse going forward.)

If this Bear Market continues force stocks down or sideways for longer than a year, I will be a very happy investor as the longer my stocks reinvest dividends at cheap share price, the more shares I will have to amp returns when the market returns in 5, 10 or 15 years.

Hell, this could take 30 years to turn around. Meanwhile, my stocks selling necessities such as razor blades, electricity, water, oil, will be building a healthy nest egg throwing off more dividends quarterly and reinvesting those dividends into more shares which return even more dividends the following quarter.


Stat Counter from 10 Nov 08